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Updated Summer Movie Preview: June 2012

Posted on | June 3, 2012 | Add Comments

In the first part of my June movie preview I will discuss and predict critics reactions and box office tallies. In the first three weeks of June there is only one movie that will totally make over $100 million in the US alone although there are two other films that I’m guessing will make over that mark as well. Without further adieu, here we go!

Snow White and the HuntsmanJune 1st: To kick off June is one of the more intriguing new blockbusters, Snow White and the Huntsman. It stars box office biggies Kristen Stewart (from Twilight) as the leading heroine and Chris Hemsworth (from The Avengers and Thor) as the Huntsman. A previous Snow White film Mirror Mirror, released March this year, failed at the box office and with critics. However, this version of the classic fairy tale looks darker, more modern, and less of a happy family movie and more an exciting scary fantasy film. On paper this new modern version seems like it will be more successful than Mirror Mirror.  However there are a few detractors: the director Rupert Sanders has never made a movie before, Kristen Stewart doesn’t always get good acting reviews, also movies such as The Avengers (which is making a lot money and will probably be third place with $29 million)  and Men in Black 3 (which will likely be successful in the long run and be in second place with $40 million), will still be competing against new movies coming out like Snow White. However some people are still wondering if women will want to see an action movie and if men will want to see a Snow White movie. I think the film seems like it has enough big movie stars, battle scenes, and fairy tale magic to lure in enough audiences to make the movie movie successful. It might not be an Avengers type smash, it might not even earn back it’s $170 million budget back in the US, and it certainly won’t be as big as Alice In Wonderland but it should still be enough for the cast and crew to make money. Critics will probably enjoy the movie but not the actors and action. RT (Rotten Tomatoes) prediction 75% fresh. OWG (opening weekend gross): $45 million DTG (domestic total gross): $160 million ITG (international total gross): $400 million

Prometheus
Madgascar 3: Europe's Most WantedJune 8th: Prometheus has been called by many as “the most anticipated non-sequel of 2012. Why? Because Ridely Scott is returning to sci-fi for the first time since his 1982 movie Blade Runner was released 30 years ago. However this movie is said to be a prequel on Ridley Scott’s only other science fiction film: Alien. Though many Alien fans are waiting to see it, there are numerous detractors. For one, there are no real movie stars all though Michael Fassbender, Noomi Rapace, Charlize Thereon, and Idris Elba have all been in some famous movies. Also the Alien movies were not massive smashes at the time although adjusted for inflation Alien made $249 million. And the biggest problem is that the movie is rated R, which will prevent younger people, like me, from seeing it.  Still I think there will be enough older people who want to see it. Critics will likely enjoy this film because Alien and Aliens were well reviewed, although the other two Alien films were not. Also that weekend, the animated movie Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted opens.  The previous Madagascar films have been very successful, especially in the rest of the world were foreign audiences have flocked to see them. Lately animated sequester such as Cars 2 and Kung Fu Panda 2 last Summer have performed considerably less compared to their predecessors.  However the trailers of this movie have showed enough combinations of comedy and action to lure family audiences in.The film showed at Cannes this year and has gotten fairly good reviews so far.  This will be a very tight weekend of competing films, although they will be vying for very different audiences. The rest of of the box office: 3rd place: Snow White and The Huntsman with $33 million 4th place: Men in Black 3 with $35 million 5th place: The Avengers with $15 million  Prometheus: RT (Rotten Tomatoes) prediction 88% fresh. OWG: $40 million DTG: $130 million ITG: $445 million. Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted  RT prediction 80% fresh. OWG: $65 million DTG: $195 million ITG: $605 million.
first kids movie summer

Rock Of AgesJune 15th: This weekend is an odd one with two new releases that likely won’t even make over $65 million domestically. So far this year most movies have either totally bombed (John Carter, Battleship) or totally made money (The Avengers, The Hunger Games). One release, Rock of Ages cost $80 million to make and in the US it probably won’t earn that much. Other recent summer movie musicals Mamma Mia (DTG: $144 million) and Hairspray (DTG: $118 million) both had opening weekends of $27 million. Worldwide they made $609 million and $202  million, respectively. This time though Hairspray director Adam Shankman has made a movie starring Russell Brand, Paul Giammatti, Catherine Zeta Jones, Alec Baldwin, and most surprisingly Tom Cruise as a singing rock star. I think that not many people will go to see this film and it will be a flop. Tom Cruise being a silly singer rather than a super spy may be a  intereeseting premise but that’s not enough to carry a movie to box office gold and critical praise (it definitely won’t get either of those two prestigious things). While it could be a breakout hit it doesn’t seem like it will be. The other release Adam Sandler’s latest comedy That’s My Boy should open just a bit below Jack and Jill‘s $25 million opening weekend and $75 million DTG, and ITG of $149 million. However considering this an R rated comedy and not a PG one it should do a bit worse. Also Adam Sandler has never been critically loved. But which Adam will get the top box office spot: Shankman or Sandler? Neither (although Sandler will do a little better! Madagascar 3 should easily hold the top spot with $53 million and Prometheus should be just a little behind in 2nd place with about $35 million. Because of weak new release competition Prometheus should turn into something of a surprise hit and Madagascar something of a big hit. Rock of Ages: RT: 48% rotten OWG: $17 million DTG: $55 million ITG: $115 million That’s My Boy: RT: 25% rotten OWG: $19 million DTG: $62 million ITG: $115 million

That's My BoyAlso don’t forget to check back soon for movie talk from Flack about the rest of June!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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